State shortfall climbs to $900 million

 

Kitzhaber says it will take more than spending cuts to balance the budget.

STEVE LAW
Statesman Journal
December 13

Gov. John Kitzhaber said Wednesday that state leaders need to fill a $900 million hole in the state budget — $200 million larger than anticipated two weeks ago — and patching it will require more than just cutbacks and short-term reserves.

“I think the time has come for making some pretty difficult choices in this state that will have a heavy impact on our future,” Kitzhaber told a panel of reporters and editors from the Statesman Journal and Oregon Public Broadcasting.

Bulging demand for welfare, prison health care and other social services is driving costs $100 million over budget, Kitzhaber said. Plus, he would like to set aside an extra $100 million in reserves when he rewrites the 2001-03 budget, in case the economy worsens next year.

“The real number, I think realistically, is closer to $900 million,” said the Democratic governor, “which is about an 8 percent cut.”

Kitzhaber promised to release a revised “all-cuts budget” the week of Jan. 7, 2002 to prepare for a budget-balancing legislative session in February. But he predicted lawmakers will balk at accepting that magnitude of cuts, and he hopes to use that document as a starting point for negotiations over long-term solutions, such as changing the tax code.

Kitzhaber declined to cite specific tax changes he might propose, but downplayed the idea of promoting an increase in cigarette taxes. That would be hotly opposed by cigarette companies and wouldn’t raise enough money, Kitzhaber said, adding. “I’m not ready to talk about taxes until I produce my budget.”

Lawmakers might be able to “cobble together a fix” through a mix of cutbacks and using tobacco settlement dollars and other reserves, Kitzhaber said. “I think that would be inappropriate.”

Relying on short-term cuts and short-term revenues will only put off the state’s problems, he said. Revenues are expected to be $1 billion short for the 2003-05 and 2005-07 budget cycles, he said, so spending all the reserves now will only make future matters worse.

Tough decisions should not be postponed, he said, adding, “This happened on our shift and we have the responsibility to fix it on our shift.”

Public schools will have to shoulder some cuts, Kitzhaber said. Schools and colleges get 56 percent of the $12.3 billion general fund budgeted by the 2001 Legislature, so it’s impossible for them to escape unscathed. Education, human services and public safety combined get 90 percent of the general fund, he said, so that’s where he’ll have to look to make cuts.

Kitzhaber won’t call a special legislative session until votes appear assured for a budget package, he said. But lawmakers need to act in February to restore a balanced budget.

The governor also criticized U.S. Attorney General John Ashcroft and his campaign to thwart Oregon’s assisted suicide law. “They’re making criminals out of physicians, and it affects every doctor in America,” said Kitzhaber, a former emergency room physician.

He also criticized high- tech industry leaders, who he said were clamoring for more university engineering programs without regard for the state’s overall budget crunch and other spending priorities.

Steve Law can be reached at (503) 399-6615.